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NEWS AND VIEWS THAT IMPACT LIMITED CONSTITUTIONAL GOVERNMENT

"There is danger from all men. The only maxim of a free government ought to be to trust no man living with
power to endanger the public liberty." - - - - John Adams

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Democrats Moving Money to Long-Shot Senate Races



The Coming GOP Wave


Democrats are starting to pour money into races initially considered long-shots as vulnerable incumbents show signs of falling behind Republicans, The Wall Street Journal reported.

Last week, the party spent $1 million in Georgia where a poll indicated Republican David Perdue and Democrat Michelle Nunn are tied at 46 percent for the open seat.

The Democratic Party also spent $1 million on the open seat in South Dakota where former GOP Gov. Mike Rounds is 4-points ahead in the latest poll against Democrat Rick Weiland and independent candidate Larry Pressler reports Newsmax.

Earlier in the season, the seat had been seen as a likely GOP win, but now looks like a toss-up, elections expert Larry Sabato said last week.


Democrats are also pouring money into ads for the Iowa race between GOP candidate Joni Ernst and Democratic Rep. Bruce Braley, who has been lagging up to 4-points behind in recent polls.

"The only way the Democrats hold the Senate is if they pull off surprises," Peter Fenn, a Democratic political consultant, told The Journal. "Do the math: Democrats are going to have to pull an inside straight on this one."

The shift toward different races has in part been driven by fading prospects of three vulnerable Democratic incumbents in Alaska, Arkansas, and Louisiana. Colorado is also up in the air, according to The Journal.

Republicans are hammering their opponents with ads in those states, relying on those races to help them achieve the six-seat swing needed to take control of the Senate. The strategy tends to center around tying incumbents to the president's record in a bid to take advantage of his low approval ratings.

Meanwhile, Republicans are also trying to shore up support for candidates that are lagging behind their Democratic rivals. In North Carolina, for example, the National Republican Senatorial Committee put $6 million into the race on behalf of state House Speaker Thom Tillis, who has now pulled ahead of Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan by 1-point in the most recent poll.

The current Real Clear Politics average of polls shows a
GOP controlled Senate by 53 to 47.  My
prediction stands at a 55-45 GOP total sweep.

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